The new Guild Expedition launched on Beta server Jan 28, 2025. Read about it here.
The first encounter of level 1 on the easiest difficulty level only had a 32% chance of completion as opposed to the 100% currently on live servers.
The above is encounter 28 on trial 1 the easiest difficulty. So on level 2 there are 8 good variables giving it a completion percentage of 13%. I don't negotiate and most of us don't that have established cities but there are people that do and if this is the easiest difficulty then that's ridiculous.